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Abstract: After analyzing how human capital return related to income disparity,the paper estimated educational return and how it varies by educational attainment and income distribution.It is found that the average educational return is about 4.34%,but it varies with educational attainments and income distribution.The educational return is about 8.......
[Abstract] Retirement-related concepts are treated as random variables within Markov process models that capture multiple labor force entries and exits. The expected number of years spent outside of the labor force, expected years in retirement, and expected age at retirement are computed—all of which are of immense policy interest but have been h......
[Abstract] Using a large, nationally representative longitudinal sample of Chinese aged 65 and older, this study examines the effects of childhood, adult, and community socioeconomic conditions on mortality and several major health outcomes. The role of social mobility is also tested. We find that childhood socioeconomic conditions exer......
Abstract： The Chinese government conducted its sixth national census in 2010 and released its major results in April 2011. According to the National Bureau of Statistics the quality of the census was very high. Although the currently released census results consist of limited statistics only, they shed new light on China’s recent fertility levels......
摘要：党的十七大把十六大确定的国内生产总值（GDP）总量2020年比2000年翻两番的目标，修订为人均GDP翻两番，即以个人人均收入水平目标达到基本形成合理有序的收入分配格局，以及中等收入者占多数为条件。从这个目标出发，改善收入分配既是当务之急，又是发展阶段所决定的长期任务。面对收入差距扩大的挑战，防止陷入“低中等收入陷阱”，应加强就业与公平效率的统一，以推动公......
摘要: 本文使用中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济所的城市住户调查资料,分析了父母的就业冲击对子女大学入学决策的影响。作者对中国经济结构的调整和劳动力市场冲击进行了介绍,讨论了中国的高等教育体制及其新近在融资和扩招方面的改革措施。在经验分析部分,我们仔细地控制了家庭之间不可观测的差异性所产生的影响,并利用线性概率模型对父母就业冲击所产生的影响进行了测算,结果发现......
This study examines the potential role that information about trends in causes of death could have in improving projections of mortality in low-mortality countries. The article first summarizes overall trends in mortality by cause since the middle of the twentieth century. Special attention is given to the crucial impact of the smoking epidemic on ......
主编: 蔡昉 杨涛 黄益平 出版时间: 2012年3月ISBN: 978-7-5097-2876-5内容简介 中国是否跨越了刘易斯转折点、刘易斯转折点对于中国经济增长意味着什么、中国经济应该如何应对，以及刘易斯理论是否适用于中国等问题，近年来再经济学家、投资实践者和政策制定者中成为时尚和热门的话题，众说纷纭、莫衷一是。而本书为读者带来......
主编: 蔡昉，于法鸣 出版社：中国旅游出版社,2006年内容简介 本报告集是中央党校一年制中青班第21期学员“科学发展观指导下的产业就业战略研究”课题组的研究成果。经过近一年的各种活动，课题组成员对相关行业的就业和社会保障问题有了比较深入的了解和研究，并上升到理论层次。根据课题研究内容的要求，课题组围绕森林工业、......
1. Keyfitz, Nathan. 1975. “How do we know the facts of demography?” Population and Development Review 1: 267-288. 2. Caldwell, John C. 1976. “Toward a restatement of demographic transition theory.” Population and Development Review 2: 321-366.3. ......