[Abstract]   A significant body of research on minority health shows that although Latino immigrants experience unexpectedly favorable outcomes in maternal and infant health, this advantage deteriorates with increased time of residence in the United States. This study evaluates the underlying assumptions of two competing hypotheses that e......

Abstract: Life expectancy continues to grow in most Western countries; however, a major remaining question is whether longer life expectancy will be associated with more or fewer life years spent with poor health. Therefore, complementing forecasts of life expectancy with forecasts of health expectancies is useful. To forecast health expectancy, an......

Abstract： Using the age- and sex-specific data of 14 developed countries, we compare the point and interval forecast accuracy and bias of ten principal component methods for forecasting mortality rates and life expectancy. The ten methods are variants and extensions of the Lee-Carter method. Based on one-step forecast errors, the weighted Hyndman-......

[Abstract]     This study examines whether children with a younger sibling whose birth was unintended experience larger declines in the quality of their home environment and larger increases in behavioral problems than children whose younger sibling’s birth was intended. We use data from the NLSY79 to estimate cross-lag regress......

Background: In this paper we study the long-term consequences of parental divorce in a comparative perspective. Special attention is paid to the heterogeneity of the consequences of divorce for children’s educational attainment by parental education. Objective: The study attempts to establish whether the parental breakup penalty for tertiary educa......

[Abstract]   We give simple upper and lower bounds on life expectancy. In a life-table population, if e(0) is the life expectancy at birth, M is the median length of life, and e(M) is the expected remaining life at age M, then (M+e(M))/2÷e(0)÷M+e(M)/2. In general, for any age x, if e(x) is the expected remaining life at age x, and Г(x)......

[Abstract]   The remarkable growth in life expectancy during the twentieth century inspired predictions of a future in which all people, not just a fortunate few, will live long lives ending at or near the maximum human life span. We show that increased longevity has been accompanied by less variation in ages at death, but survivors to th......

[Abstract]   The separation of migrants from the family unit, as a result of labour migration, can have profound effects on family organization and the lives of family members. Using data from a 2006 survey of 1,680 married women from 56 villages in southern Mozambique, we examined the relationship between men's labour migration and the d......

全球金融危机爆发之后，中国外贸出口受到很大影响。2008年10月以来，外贸出口增长滑落，外商直接投资（FDI）流入出现负增长。金融危机通过信贷和资本市场向实体经济传递。由于这次危机首先发生在全球最大的经济体，并波及全球经济，因而它的影响比东亚金融危机对中国经济的冲击更大。在一系列因素影响下，金融危机对经济增长和就业的影响开始显现，如发生在东部沿海地区农民工“......

年份：2004 样本： 调查了北京6317家企业，收集其劳动力需求信息 研究目的：建立北京的失业预警系统...