Abstract:This is a study of how the synergisms between cultural and structural factors, which played a major role during the historical fertility and nuptiality transition (first demographic transition or FDT), have continued to condition demographic innovations connected to the “second demographic transition” (SDT). The continuity or discontinui......

Abstract： This paper provides a description of school enrollment in China using a 1% sample from the 1990 National Census.A detailed portrait of enrollment rates is provided,comparing rural and urban rates for boys and girls at various ages.Comparisons are also made to potential covariates such as parental education and family size.The multivariat......

[Abstract]   Multistate life table methods are often used to estimate the proportion of remaining life that individuals can expect to spend in various states, such as healthy and unhealthy states. Sullivan's method is commonly used when panels containing data on transitions are unavailable and true multistate tables cannot be generated. S......

The sex ratio at birth (SRB) in Hong Kong SAR (Special Administrative Region) has recently increased dramatically. Using a data set (N = 850,331) of all recorded births in Hong Kong between 1995 and 2009, we calculated SRBs by parity and immigrant status. The findings indicate a strong son preference among Mainland Chinese who have travelled to Hon......

摘要：公平性是衡量一国养老保险制度是否成功的主要依据之一。文章通过对中国基本养老金替代率的测算，认为养老保险制度的收入再分配功能较弱，部分养老金领取者可能陷入老年绝对贫困，许多老年人也可能陷入老年相对贫困，低收入者、灵活人员、高龄老人和部分弱势群体的老年贫困可能性很高，这在一定程度挫伤了他们缴纳养老保险费的积极性。作者建议，政府可以考虑对灵活就业人......

[Abstract] Preston, Glei, and Wilmoth (2010) recently proposed an innovative regression-based method to estimate smoking-attributable mortality in developed countries based on observed lung cancer death rates. Their estimates for females, however, differ appreciably from some published estimates. This article presents a modified version of the Pres......

I. IntroductionDespite the overwhelming severity of mass lay-off and unemployment and drop of labor force participation in the entire urban China since the late 1990s, two facts have been observed by scholars. First, the employment in urban area has always expanded in a rather rapid way during the period that is considered the most difficult time o......

I IntroductionThe main purpose of this paper is to focus on the impacts of investment in human capital on the economic growth and regional disparities. This paper makes sense in both empirical analysis and in practical respects because, so far, little detailed empirical research including such long provincial time series used in this paper in China......

　　时间：2014年3月20日上午9:00——11:00
　　地点：人口与劳动经济研究所第一会议室（北京朝阳区曙光西里28号，中冶大厦10层）
　　报告人：蔡昉（中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所所长）
　　报告题目：解答“李约瑟之谜”的经济增长视角
　　主持人：屈小博
　　出席：郑真真、都阳、王美艳、高文书、所内青年学者以及研究生院博士、硕士研究生共计30余人。
　　摄影：......

摘要: 文章通过静态模型、比较静态和动态模型分析了《劳动合同法》对劳动力市场的影响,结果发现,《劳动合同法》在相当程度上有利于消除劳动力市场的分割,维护市场公平交易,而且并不必然会导致失业率升高;它更加有利于遵纪守法的经营者、有利于促进落后企业改善经营管理水平、有利于促进产业的优化升级,并在一定程度上缓解了"劳工短缺"。事实上,《劳动合同法》起到了鞭策落后、鼓......