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Name: Wang GuangzhouGender: MaleDate of birth(dd/mm/yy): 18/10/1965Nationality: P.R. ChinaPresent home address: 3#0206 of Jiada Jiayuan, No. 1 of Jiao Tong DaXue Road, Hai Dian Distract, Beijing, 100044, P.R. ChinaE-mail address： wangguangzhou@126.comName of institution/organization: Population and Labor Economics Research Institute of CASSP......
[Abstract] This study examines and further develops the classic Strehler-Mildvan (SM) general theory of mortality and aging. Three predictions from the SM theory are tested by examining the age dependence of mortality patterns for 42 countries (including developed and developing countries) over the period 1955–2003. By applying finite ......
Background: In survival analysis a large literature using frailty models, or models with unobserved heterogeneity, exists. In the growing literature and modelling on multistate models, this issue is only in its infant phase. Ignoring frailty can, however, produce incorrect results. Objective: This paper presents how frailties can be incorporated in......
Background: Many of the reproductive decisions that humans make happen without much planning or forethought, arising instead through the use of simple choice rules or heuristics that involve relatively little information and processing. Nonetheless, these heuristic-guided decisions are typically beneficial, owing to humans’ ecological rationality ......
摘要： 通过把增长理论与二元经济理论相结合,并应用于中国人口转变和资本积累的分析,本文回答了中国人口红利还能持续多久的问题。本文认为,人口红利的实质在于充足的劳动力供给可以防止资本报酬递减现象出现,因而可以依靠资本和劳动的投入保持高速经济增长。因此,考察人口红利延续期,必须把人口抚养比与资本积累水平结合起来进行观察。由此得出的结论是,中国人口红利的最大化时......
摘要：在实施从紧的宏观经济政策中,抑制通货膨胀的目的是保障民生,保持适度经济增长速度的目的是保证就业。坚持"有保有压"的方针,应该根据行业、项目和企业的性质,明确"保"的对象和"压"的目标,做到有的放矢。正确的政策选择应该是:通过"压"那些资金需求量大,且属于"两高一资"部门的增长速度,以抑制总需求并达到控制通货膨胀的目的,通过"保"那些具有比较优势的劳动密集型部门,达......
作者：蔡昉 出版社：天津人民出版社出版日期：2002年ISBN：9787201039954内容摘要：包含在本集子中的文字，大致可以分为三类。第一类是作者把自己从事经济研究的结果，用相对简洁的语言，表述给不是经济学家的读者，无非是推销自己学术观点的一种手段而已；第二类是通过叙述一个身边发生的事件，或讲一个自认为有趣的故事，阐述某种经济学道理，也有着明显的说教性质；第......