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提高劳动生产率是经济增长可持续引擎,也是产业结构调整的基础和动力。然而,在不同的发展阶段上,劳动生产率提高的方式不尽相同。根据预测,我国劳动年龄人口将于“十二五”时期停止增长并绝对减少,意味着长期给中国经济增长提供人口红利的人口结构,将发生根本性的变化,意味着中国进入一个新的发展阶段。这要求从依靠传统人口红......
今年诺贝尔经济奖授予了三位劳动经济学家,表彰其在失业等领域的研究贡献。美国在至今两年多的时间里失业率居高不下;中国也面临较大的就业压力,从这个意义上说,这个多少令学界有些意外的归属可谓实至名归。 失业原因复杂多样。一般来说,主要包括:伴随着宏观经济周期性波动,劳动力供求关系相应发生短期变化,形成周期性失业......
Intergenerational Differences , Aging and InequalityZhang Juwei & Xiang JingAbstract:Theoretically, the income or consumption inequality will increase with age by a fixed cohort; but in China, the younger faces higher inequality than the older. This article analysis the impact of demographic dynamics and cohort effect on the inequality, on the......
Abstract: Based on the period age - specific fertility rate,this paper has proposed an estimation method of the cohort age - specific fertility rate and uses data of the birth cohort of 1950 - 1981 to explain its feasibility and reliability.This method can be applied to analyze the pattern of parity progression and related issues,particularly......
摘要: 中国江南农村20世纪30年代即已开始了家庭核心化进程,个别地区初步实现了核心化;北方农村尽管核心家庭为最大家庭形式,但尚未进入核心化之途。北方农村家庭核心化的进程发轫于土地改革,全面开始于高级社建立时期,至20世纪60年代中期,家庭核心化基本实现。除长江下游的江南以外,南方其他农村的家庭核心化在土地改革之后继续得到发展。至20世纪60年代中期,中国多数农村的核心......
摘要:18世纪中后期是中国人口迁移流动的活跃时期。这不仅表现在迁移流动数量和规模较大,而且迁移流动者的身份类型比较庞杂;既有近距离的流动,又有远距离的迁移;既有临时流往它乡的糊口之举,又有开辟新的生存空间的永久迁移。人口的迅速增长是人口迁移流动行为活跃的主要动力。同时也应看到,18世纪中后期的中国人口迁移流动虽有量的增加,却无质的变化。它既表现出中国传统社会发......
At the beginning of 2009 the global financial crisis struck hard at the real economy of China. While the whole country suffered, not all regions suffered equally. Looking at two industrial cities on which the crisis had a very different impact helps to explain the reasons for the uneven effect of the crisis, and highlights opportunities for policy ......
According to the Phillips curve, a trade-off exists between economic growth and control over inflation and the two can hardly be achieved at the same time in implementation of macroeconomic policy. For China's reality, neither high unemployment nor high inflation is acceptable. China must balance the two to steer its economic growth on a stable and......
On May 10, 2010, the “Workshop on Population and Regional Disparities: Continuities and Change under Different Regulation Regimes” was held in CASS Conference Hall and co-organized by the Institute of Population and Labour Economics and Norwegian Institute for Urban and Regional Research....